Charlie’s month-end reading list

Here are some of the latest topics of interest at Fort Pitt Capital Group:  The first article, “Nintendo reportedly moved switch production out of China over Trump’s tariff threats”, comes from Zerohedge. Nintendo has moved production of its popular Switch hand-held gaming console from China to Southeast Asia in an…

The interest rate pendulum

When interest rates get whipsawed the way they have in the last couple of weeks, we believe some explanation is necessary. First and foremost, we don’t believe it is one particular issue but instead, a lot of balls in the air at the same time that are creating uncertainty. China,…

The Inversion Aversion

Most of 2018 played out according to plan in the bond market. Early in the year market strategist expected faster U.S. economic growth, higher inflation and a Federal Reserve that might be “behind the curve” in its efforts to head off inflation via higher interest rates. Tax cuts, healthy job…

Train Spotting

My first boss told me something years ago about the bond market that I’ll never forget. He said, “never stand in front of a moving train.” I think about it every time I trade. He meant that if interest rates (the train) start to move quickly in one direction and…

A new interest rate regime

As 2017 began, bond investors speculated on the impact of the new administration’s policies. How inflationary might lower taxes, deregulation and a big infrastructure bill be for the U.S. economy? The first quarter spike in 10-year Treasury rates (shown below) indicated that the bond market was expecting big increases in…